PSU banks are undergoing a structural re-rating driven by record profitability, improved asset quality, capital strength, and alignment with India’s capex cycle. Institutional flows and earnings visibility suggest the shift is fundamental, not momentum-led.
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Unlike previous easing cycles, current rate cuts are compressing bank margins more quickly due to faster loan repricing, sticky deposit costs, elevated legacy funding, and intense competition for savings. Early-phase pressure on Net Interest Margins (NIMs) is weighing on earnings before growth benefits materialise.
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India’s silver imports surged 129% YoY in FY26 (Apr–Dec), driven by both rising volumes and higher prices. This rare combination signals structural industrial demand and growing monetary interest, positioning silver as both a strategic metal and a liquidity hedge.
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Indian equities are shaped by the interplay between liquidity and earnings. Liquidity drives short-term price action, while earnings determine long-term sustainability. With domestic liquidity structurally strong and earnings stabilising, markets appear to be in a multiple-driven phase awaiting broader profit acceleration for a durable bull cycle.
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China is steadily reducing exposure to US Treasuries while increasing gold and hard-asset reserves. This controlled diversification reflects geopolitical risk management and a gradual shift toward a multi-reserve global monetary framework.
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US copper inventories have surged to record levels, driven by anticipatory imports, tariff fears, and strategic positioning. With supply inelastic and electrification demand rising, stockpiling reflects preparation for potential structural shortages—not oversupply.
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Global manufacturing is entering Supply Chains 2.0, driven by friend-shoring, localisation, and automation. Capital is concentrating in strategic economies with scale and policy stability, positioning countries like India as key beneficiaries of the next decade-long industrial cycle.
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The yen carry trade has evolved from a niche strategy into a systemic funding pillar for global markets. With Japan’s inflation data and BOJ policy shaping expectations, even small shifts in yen volatility can ripple across equities, EM flows, rates, and commodities.
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The 2022 nickel squeeze exposed how leverage and thin liquidity can overpower fundamentals. As short covering met vanishing sellers, prices spiked above $100,000/tonne, forcing the LME to halt trading and cancel trades—revealing structural fragility in commodity markets.
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